Decentralisation

This entry has been written from an ‘out of character’ perspective to discuss recent events in EVE.

There is something about EVE that has always kind of annoyed me.  Yeah, I know.  What are the odds? 😉

That thing, or this particular thing, is market hubs.  Given all of the systems and regions in EVE, players as a group insist on doing as much of their trading as possible in one of a handful of systems.  Manufacturers build in empire to sell in empire.  Many null sec players import their ships and mods from empire rather than finding them locally.  Even when there is a local market hub, it is typically stocked by imports from empire sold at Jita price +5-10%.  Generally speaking, players shy away from local production and trade.

This state of affairs has never seemed right to me (I understand the reasons why it is this way, but dislike the reality..) and so it was with some glee that I heard news of the impending ‘Burn Jita’.  I really dislike the place and its long shadow cast over EVE’s economy.

What I do find interesting with the current situation is that Goonswarm’s strategy of economic disruption is made possible by the general communities reliance on our in some ways predictable and centralised economy.  If you want to buy or sell something, you’re probably going to do it in one of these four systems;

@CCP_Diagoras

Top stations by # of mkt trans on 22nd April! Empire first, then nullsec: Jita 4-4 (303k), Amarr 8 (95k), Dodixie 9-20 (65k), Rens 6-8 (60k)

Compare that to:

@CCP_Diagoras

Top nullsec stations for market trans on Apr 22nd: 6VDT (5,741), VFK (4,055), C3N (1,759), L-C3 (1,711), E-BY (1,691).

The largest null sec market hub is less than a tenth of the fourth place empire hub.  We Capsuleers sure do like our high sec markets.  Burn Jita was an unprecedented event, but given its apparent success (defined by whatever Goonswarm themselves aimed at achieving) and follow up analysis, it is highly likely that we will see similar events in future.  As The Mittani was happy to state himself;

A tremendous amount of uncertainty now hangs over the head of every hisec trade hub and each producer within it, as if Jita can be sacked, perhaps Amarr, Rens, or Dodixie could be next – and that uncertainty drives prices up still more. I can state affirmatively that there will be more ‘burns’ of trade hubs by nullsec alliances, but future attacks will not come with two months of warning – if there is any notice at all.

The big question in my mind is this – how worried are high sec manufacturers/traders/customers by all this?  Could we actually see players begin to spread themselves out to become less reliant on Jita 4-4?  If ‘Burn market hub of the week without warning’ becomes a reality, will that be enough to shake confidence in high sec hubs?

I actually hope so.  It would make things much more interesting and finally open up the possibility of regional markets.  Maybe, just maybe, it might be possible to buy something in the Derelik region. Just throwing that out there.  Hey, it might happen! 😉

The next year could prove interesting for decentralising EVE’s economy.  If players stop seeing the four established hubs as the ‘only place’ to buy or sell stuff, they might spread out.  If the upcoming Hulkageddon is as effective as the Goons hope, mining in empire will be getting kinda risky for awhile at least, and Hulks are going to get very expensive.  Null sec could become the place to be for all mining, not just the high end minerals.  And with Planetary Ring Mining on the cards, moon goo won;t just be coming out of moons in future; threatening the technetium monopoly of the northern regions.

I’m interested to see what EVE’s economic landscape will look like on six months time.  If its much like today, I’ll actually be pretty disappointed.

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2 Responses to Decentralisation

  1. Trixie says:

    There will be no such thing as “burn a market hub a week or month”, he is blowing smoke out his back side. Here is why.

    1 – I Traded/Hauled all weekend in and out of Jita and never even noticed that the event was really happening, infact I actually made more ISK ( I am positive I wasnt the only one)
    2 – The logistcs are a pain, getting all those ships and people in place is a nightmare (meaning people will get tired of it and not log on to participate)
    3 – Expensive (for most, maybe not the goons) but that will leave them alone in this silly endeavor
    4 – Sec status, while this is a fun “event” doing it all the time and then trying to recover your Sec Status so that you will be able to move around will suck the fun out of all but the most diehard players. Most line pilots will get very weary of the game of managing sec status.

    I am sure there is more but the bottom line is that this event or any like it will have almost no impact on how the market or the game is currently played. Hulkageddon is a perfect example of that, as of this writing they have killed just over 1700 ships, I see that number and look at like this, it is EVE’s way of getting rid of the stupid but really having no long lasting effect on the game. Anybody who reads knows that this happens yearly and stays docked or protected for the month then once it is over goes back to what they were doing like nothing happened (same already has happened for “Burn Jita” within hours of the event being over).

    Anyway good blog, I enjoy reading it.

    Cheers

    • Ugleb says:

      I think that you’re right for the most part, sustaining anything like Burn Jita will quickly become hard work. Still, its possible they might put the effort into a dedicated griefing squad to go with the hit squad they just announced that will be hunting down ‘high sec shit posters’ they don’t like.

      But yes, it will take alot to hurt the high sec hubs long term due to the sheer inertia behind those markets. It would be interesting to see it happen though… 😉

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